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Update November 1st, 2011

Stop me if you’ve heard this one before. On Friday, 9/30/2011 the $SPX lost 28.98 pts, 96% of the volume went into declining issues, $NYUPV dropped to 79.21, $NYUD:$NYUPV dropped -14.64, the $TRIN...

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Update November 21st, 2011

That was some bounce in the Q’s, huh? Yeah. Meanwhile, the RSI’s on the 60min charts of  SPY, DIA, IWM, and Q’s dipped well into oversold territory and then the computers kicked in on the last two...

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Update March 8th, 2012

Hopefully a couple of you spotted the ‘buy’ signal that was generated on Tuesday. More on that in a minute. As you know, I was expecting some kind of market top to get put in and the action that began...

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Update April 9th, 2012

Unfortunately the stars are not all aligned, as they were on March 6th. Still, there is a good chance for a bounce tomorrow based on things like $NYUPV,  Zweig Breadth Thrust, and 4wk New High/Low...

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Quick Update April 10th, 2012

Second day with the market going deeper into extreme oversold territory. We should see a bounce tomorrow but only because breadth indicators are saying that the bulk of the selling is over, but don’t...

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Quick Weekend Update, May 5th, 2012

You can not have a bottom without a climax selling event. Friday’s action does not constitute a climax selling event. It is close but close does not count when there’s money on the line. It can become...

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Update June 21st, 2012

(Added at the close, Friday June 22nd, 2012: Decided to hold off. Nice rally today but want to see how things go Monday/Tuesday of next week. I really don’t see any reason to be bearish here but...

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Brief Update August 13th, 2012

(Edit 12:50p.m. I just noticed that the RSI on the 60min chart for $VIX closed at 20.48 today. The last time the RSI got into this area was on June 19th when $SPX closed at 1357. Starting on June 20th,...

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Brief Note, November 2nd, 2012

Since I began to seriously study markets back in 2009, I have yet to see a pull back that did not end with a capitulation, climax selling event. Per $NYUPV and $NYUD:$NYUPV, and a couple of others,...

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Update November 14th, 2012

This was a capitulation climax selling event. But keep in mind that we had a couple of these in mid-May, and then the market rolled over into the June lows so while capitulation is something you find...

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